Yesterday Wasn't Our Best Day, But I'm Still Feeling Good About Our Gambling Picks

RECORD

52-74-2 (+5.2 units)

Yesterday was not the masterclass that Tuesday was, but we only took a slight punch. We went 1-2. Kyle Schwarber failed to go deep against the Blue Jays (though the Phillies' offense came alive and got to Kevin Gausman). The Rangers got shut down by Reid Detmers as the Angels picked up a rare win. The Padres saved the day for me. Blake Snell pitched well, and San Diego knocked off a first-place Baltimore club. So we're still going strong here. The fact that we're up over five units considering where we were, is kind of amazing. I'm digging the vibes. Let's take a look at today's picks.

Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145) against the Padres 

More often than not, the Padres have been pretty good to me, both when I’ve been on them and that against them. The Arizona Diamondbacks have been inin absolute free fall over the last 40 games or so. This is a spectacular collapse by them. They cannot get out of their own way and I feel like I’m really rolling the dice betting on them to cover on the road, but I trust Zac Gallen. As bad as the Diamondbacks have been during this stretch, Gallen has not. He just faced the Padres a week ago and threw six scoreless  With a few more starts like that, he puts himself back in the forefront of the National League Cy Young conversation. The Padres looked great last night against a first place Baltimore team. Knowing how they work, they’ll come out and lay an egg tonight. I don’t trust Rich Hill, but I sure as hell trust Zac Gallen. 

Paul Goldschmidt to homer (+425) against the Mets

I’m only going with two plays today. This is a very light board. A lot of teams have travel days today, so there isn’t a ton of games to bet on. If you’re looking for a textbook example of a hitter who absolutely owns a pitcher, look no further than Paul Goldschmidt‘s dominance of Jose Quintana. In 11 at bats against Quintana, Goldschmidt is 11 for 19 with three home runs. I know Paul Goldschmidt hasn’t put up the numbers that were accustomed to seeing from him, but he’s still one of the most feared first baseman in the entire sport. The value is really good here because Quintana, to his credit, does not give up home runs. He has not given up a home run so far this season. Am I going out on a limb by betting Goldschmidt to go deep against a pitcher, who hasn’t given up the whole run all season? Maybe, but something has to give eventually. I like Goldy to go deep. 

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