The Mets Are Looking For A Sweep, Gallen And Strider Are Set For A Pitcher's Duel, And Paul Goldschmidt Is Going Deep Today
RECORD
15-29-2 (-10.6 units)
Not a great day yesterday, but I'm not freaking out either. Justin Verlander did Justin Verlander things, helping the Mets deliver on the runs line. Austin Riley held up his end of the bargain by going deep, but the Braves dropped their fourth in a row. What the fuck is wrong with them? They couldn't lose for a month. My third bet was the Mariners on the run line. The Mariners just suck this year, don't they? That team doesn't have a clutch bone in their body, and they can't fucking win when Luis Castillo is on the mound. Have I overhyped him? Maybe, I don't know, but Seattle is officially on my shit list. I liked yesterday's board, and JV was the only one who didn't disappoint me. Let's take a look at today's picks.
Mets -1.5 (+130) against the White Sox
Poor Mets fans. As much as they have underachieved, this team is doing just enough to keep their fans engaged before the trade deadline, where they will have some decisions to make. Jose Quintana is back for the Mets against his former team, the White Sox. I have no idea what to expect from him, but even if he can't give them much length, the Mets bullpen should be fresh following Verlander's masterful outing from last night. You have Michael Kopech going for the White Sox, whom I don't trust. His stuff is electric, which is why it makes little sense to me why he's so mediocre, but I feel like that statement can be made to describe a lot of players on the White Sox this year. Narratively, seeing the Mets get red hot before the deadline would make so much sense. They've been one of the most disappointing teams in recent memory, but they might be starting to hit a stride. It's just too little too late, but I like them on the run line tonight.
Diamondbacks/Braves under 8.5 (Even)
This has been a wacky series, with the Diamondbacks impressively taking the first two in Atlanta. Part of me wanted to hammer the Braves on the run line here. I have a hard time believing they will drop five in a row, but Zach Gallen going for Arizona scared me away from doing that. There's been a bunch of runs scored in this series, which is why we're set for a good, old-fashioned pitcher's duel today. Gallen and Spencer Strider are two pitchers capable of completely shutting down any lineup. It's a risk because these two offensives can put up over 8.5 runs on their own, but dominant pitchers neutralize dominant hitters any day. We're due for a low-scoring game. It should be fun to watch.
Paul Goldschmidt to homer (+550) against the Cubs
Lately, I've been trying to go with my gut and not be so obsessive with the numbers, but this is one that I can't ignore. Paul Goldschmidt completely owns Marcus Stroman. Stroman has been brilliant this year, and there's a chance this is his final start as a Cubs (his name has been thrown around a ton in trade talks). If that's the case, he may want to avoid pitching to Goldschmidt to avoid tanking his trade value. Goldy has yet to be able to repeat his MVP success from a year ago, but he's 9-24 with three home runs in his career against Stroman. If you want to take Stroman out of the equation, Goldschmidt's career numbers against the Cubs are staggering. In one hundred and fourteen games, he has a .975 OPS with twenty-nine home runs. Because of how good those numbers are, I'm surprised by the value here. It's been a minute since I've done a home run prop, but this feels too good to pass up.
All odds come from the Barstool Sportsbook. Follow Barstool Baseball on all platforms, including our YouTube page.