Katie Stats' Bowl Season Preview Part 2, For Your Gambling Needs
Probably my last blog of the year, thank you to everyone who clicked on them throughout the season. And to all the shit clicks, check still cash.
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Please gamble responsibly and on the Barstool Sportsbook.
Coastal Carolina
QB Grayson McCall is transferring but playing in the bowl as of 12/12.
0-3 ATS and over is 3-0 in L3.
After not covering, 1-7-1 ATS in L9.
Vs. non-con, 8-0 SU in L8, and 14-1 SU in L15.
After 13+ days of rest, over is 6-1 in L7.
101st scoring defense, 30.1 ppg allowed. 124th passing defense, 282 ypg allowed. 97th total defense, 412.6 ypg allowed.
ECU
Vs. non-con, 4-0 ATS in L4.
At neutral sites, 1-5 SU.
After 13+ days of rest, 1-8 SU.
16th pass offense, 288.5 ypg. 24th total offense, 459 ypg. 18th rushing defense, 111.42 ypg allowed. 131st pass defense, 299.5 ypg allowed.
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Wisconsin
Jim Leonhard’s last game on the staff. Without QB Graham Mertz. Remaining QBs on roster have a combined 11 attempts this year. Luke Fickell will be on the sideline. Missing a few defensive starters.
After a spread loss, over is 5-1 in L6.
In december, under is 6-1 in L7.
112th pass offense, 189.5 ypg. 25th scoring defense, 20.5 ppg allowed. 12th rushing defense, 103.17 ypg allowed. 13th total defense, 305.4 ypg allowed.
Oklahoma State
Will be without QB Spencer Sanders (2nd on team in rushing), RB1 Dominic Richardson, LB1, Mason Cobb, and 2 DE.
Under is 5-0 in L5 games, and 1-4 ATS in L5.
At neutral site, 6-0 ATS in L6.
In bowl games, 6-0 ATS in L6.
Vs. non-con, 9-0 SU in L9 and 22-1 SU in L23.
After 13+ days of rest, 7-1 ATS in L8.
20th passing offense, 283.8 ypg.
114th pass defense, 269.5 ypg allowed. 116th total defense, 440.8 ypg allowed.
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UCF
Without a top WR, Ryan O’Keefe, LB2.
26th scoring offense, 34.4 ppg. 8th rushing offense, 236.08 ypg. 11th total offense, 480.6 ypg.
Duke
5-1 ATS in L6 games.
In bowl games, over is 6-0 in L6, and 5-0 ATS in L5.
24th rushing defense, 120.33 ypg. 109th passing defense, 262.3 ypg allowed.
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Kansas
First time in a bowl game since 2008.
0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS and over is 3-0 in L3 games.
27th scoring offense, 34.2 ppg.
119th scoring defense, 33.8 ppg allowed. 115th rush defense, 193.75 ppg allowed. 104th passing defense, 257.9 ypg allowed. 121st total defense, 451.7 ypg allowed.
Arkansas
Will be without top 2 LBs, WR2, TE1 (3rd in receiving), C. Without DC Barr
At neutral site, under is 6-0 in L6.
At bowl games, under is 7-2 in L9.
After 13+ days of rest, 7-1 ATS in L8 and over is 5-1 in L6.
9th rushing offense, 223.42 ypg. 26th total offense, 453.8 ypg.
104th rush defense, 179.33 ypg allowed. 118th pass defense, 273.9 ypg allowed. 123rd total defense, 453.3 ypg allowed.
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Oregon
Per Dan Lanning, Bo Nix is playing, and is back for 2023. Without a top DB. Without OC Kenny Dillingham.
After a spread loss, 6-1 ATS in L7.
At neutral site 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS in L3.
9th scoring offense, 39.7 ppg. 14th rushing offense, 216.33 ypg. 15th passing offense, 291.4 ypg. 4th total offense, 507.8 ypg.
107th pass defense, 260.6 ypg allowed.
UNC
Without WR1 Josh Downs, and depth players on defense. Without OC Phil Longo, who has gone to Wisconsin.
In bowl games, over is 3-0 in L3, and 1-5 SU in L6.
Vs. non-con, 1-5-1 ATS in L7.
As a 10+ point dog, 0-9 SU.
Vs. top 25 teams, 1-5 SU in L6.
After 13+ days of rest, over is 7-1 in L8.
23rd scoring offense, 35 ppg. 9th passing offense, 317.2 ypg. 15th total offense, 473.6 ypg.
105th scoring defense, 31 ppg allowed. 121st pass defense, 276.4 ypg allowed. 114th total defense, 438.2 ypg allowed.
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Texas Tech
After 13+ days of rest, 7-0 ATS in L7.
13th passing offense, 307 ypg. 23rd total offense, 459.5 ypg.
101st total defense, 414.5 ypg allowed.
Ole Miss
In bowl games, under is 5-0 in L5.
1-4-1 ATS in L6 games. On a 3 SU game losing streak.
After 13+ days of rest, under is 5-1 in L6.
After week 13, under is 5-1 in L6.
27th scoring offense, 34.2 ppg. 3rd rushing offense, 261.42 ypg. 8th total offense, 491.1 ypg.
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Syracuse
In bowl games, 4-0 ATS in L4, and 6-1 ATS in L7.
0-5 ATS in L5 games.
After a SU win, under is 4-0 in L4.
In December, 6-0 ATS and under is 7-0 in L7.
At neutral site, under is 6-1 in L7.
19th pass defense, 188.8 ypg allowed.
Minnesota
Backup QB Athan Kaliakmanis has started the L3 games for an injured Tanner Morgan.
In bowl games, 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in L5.
Vs. non-con, 4-0 ATS in L4.
After a win, under is 5-0 in L5.
At a neutral site, 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in L5.
11th rushing offense, 218.42 ypg. 114th pass offense, 185.9 ypg.
3rd scoring defense, 13.3 ppg allowed. 15th rushing offense, 105.83 ypg allowed. 8th passing defense, 173.7 ypg allowed. 5th total defense, 279.5 ypg allowed.
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Oklahoma
Will be without RB1 Eric Gray, 2 OL, 1 DL.
Vs. non-con, 9-0 SU in L9.
2-7 ATS in L9 games.
At neutral sites, over is 3-0 in L3.
13th rush offense, 216.58 ypg. 18th total offense, 472.2 ypg.
108th rush defense, 189 ypg allowed. 108th pass defense, 261.5 ypg allowed. 120th total defense, 450.5 ypg allowed.
FSU
Jordan Travis announced he is back for next year.
Won their L5 games SU, and went 4-1 ATS in that period.
After 13+ days of rest, over is 6-1 in L7.
After a spread loss, 5-1 ATS in L6.
17th scoring offense, 36.2 ppg. 12th rushing offense, 217.83 ypg. 13th total offense, 475.7 ypg.
16th scoring defense, 19.7 ppg allowed. 3rd passing defense, 158.9 ypg allowed. 14th total defense, 307.3 ypg allowed.
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Texas
Bijan Robinson and RB2 Roschon Johnson have opted out. Seems that LB DeMarvion Overshown isn’t going to be playing but waiting on confirmation as of 12/19. Backup QB Hudson Card is in the portal.
Over is 4-1 in L5 games.
In bowl games, 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in L4.
Vs. ranked teams, 1-6 SU in L7.
Vs. non-con, 9-1 ATS in L10.
20th scoring offense, 35.7 ppg. 26th rushing offense, 199.58 ypg.
Washington
QB Michael Penix Jr is back for 2023.
When a dog by less than a TD, 1-7 SU in L8.
After a spread win, 5-1 ATS and over is 5-1 in L6.
Vs. non-con, 4-0 ATS in L4 and 10-2 ATS in L12.
4th scoring offense, 40.8 ppg. 1st passing offense, 376.7 ypg. 2nd total offense, 522.2 ypg.
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Maryland
Will be without half of WR duo, Rakim Jarrett, WR3. LB2 is in the portal.
In bowl games, over is 5-1 in L6.
At neutral sites, over is 6-1 in L7.
On Fridays, 1-5 ATS in L6.
Vs. non-con, 7-0 SU in L7, and 6-1 ATS in L7.
After 13+ days of rest, 1-8 SU and 1-8 ATS in L9, and under is 5-1 in L6.
NC State
Will be without WR2, Devin Carter.
On Fridays, over is 4-0 in L4.
In spreads less than 3, 1-6 SU and 1-6 ATS in L7.
4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in L4.
107th rushing offense, 121 ypg. 103rd total offense, 343.5 ypg.
14th scoring defense, 19.4 ppg allowed. 11th rushing defense, 102.75 ypg allowed. 21st total defense, 325.7 ypg allowed.
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Pittsburgh
Will be without QB Kedon Slovis and RB Israel Abanikanda.
In bowl games, 1-5 ATS and 1-5 SU in L6.
On a 4 game SU win streak.
At neutral sites, 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS in L6.
As an underdog, 0-5 SU and 0-5 ATS in L5. 1-8 SU and 1-8 ATS in L9.
On Fridays, under is 4-0 in L4.
7th rushing defense, 95.5 ypg allowed. 17th total defense, 319.7 ypg allowed.
UCLA
DTR’s status is unconfirmed.
After 13+ days of rest, 1-6 SU and 1-6 ATS in L7.
On Fridays, 1-5 ATS in L6.
0-3 ATS in L3 games.
After not covering, over is 6-1 in L7.
10th scoring offense, 39.6 ppg. 4th rushing offense, 246.42 ypg. 3rd total offense, 507.9 ypg.
120th pass defense, 275.7 ypg allowed.
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Notre Dame
Will be without TE Michael Mayer, QB1 Drew Pyne, DL1.
Over is 6-0 in L6 games.
After not covering, 8-0 SU in L8, and over is 5-0-1 in L6.
As a favorite by less than a TD, 6-1 ATS in L7.
Vs SEC, under is 5-0 in L5.
106th pass offense, 199.9 ypg.
20th pass defense, 190.6 ypg allowed. 22nd total defense, 327.4 ypg allowed.
South Carolina
Will be without top RB MarShawn Lloyd.
In bowl games, 5-1 ATS in L6.
As an underdog, 4-1 ATS in L5.
99th rushing offense, 123.33 ypg.
113th rushing defense, 192.42 ypg allowed. 27th pass defense, 199.5 ypg allowed.
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Ohio
Seems without QB1 Kurtis Rourke (MAC POY), this will be their 2nd game without him.
In the L3 bowl games, 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS, and under is 3-0.
In spreads less than 3, 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in L4.
Vs. non-con, 1-7 ATS in L8, and over is 6-1 in L7.
On Fridays, 1-4-1 ATS in L6, and under is 4-1 in L5.
18th passing offense, 285.3 ypg.
130th pass defense, 293.7 ypg allowed. 113th total defense, 437.4 ypg allowed.
Wyoming
Will be without RB1 Titus Swen (NFL/dismissed), WR1 Joshua Cobbs (transfer), RB2 & RB3 are injured, RB4 is in the portal.
On Fridays, under is 5-1 in L6.
Under is 5-0 in L5 games.
Vs. the MAC, over is 9-1 in L10.
In bowl games, 4-0 ATS in L4, and over is 5-1 in L6.
112th scoring offense, 20.8 ppg. 125th passing offense, ypg. 118th total offense, 315.5 ypg.
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Tennessee
Without QB Hendon Hooker, WRs Cedrill Tillman and Jalin Hyatt, Will be without OC Alex Golesh.
In bowl games, over is 6-1 in L7.
As a dog, 1-4 ATS in L5.
At neutral sites, 0-4 ATS in L4.
On Fridays, 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS, and over is 4-0 in L4.
Vs. Non-con, 6-1 ATS in L7, and over is 7-1 in L8.
1st scoring offense, 19th rushing offense, 205.75 ypg. 19th rushing offense, 205.75 ypg. 3rd passing offense, 332.3 ypg. 1st total offense, 538.1 ypg.
19th rushing defense, 111.75 ypg allowed. 127th passing defense, 287 ypg allowed.
Clemson
Without DJ Uiagalelei, who cares, without DE1 Myles Murphy, top LB Trenton Simpson.
In bowl games, 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in L4.
Vs. non-con, 0-4 ATS in L4.
At neutral sites, under is 6-1 in L7.
Vs. ranked teams, 5-0 SU in L5.
25th scoring offense, 34.7 ppg.
17th scoring defense, 20.1 ppg allowed. 10th rushing defense, 101.08 ypg allowed. 24th total defense, 331.3 ypg allowed.
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Alabama
In bowl games (not semis) 5-1 ATS in L6.
Vs. non-con, 16-0 SU, and under is 5-1 in L6.
When favored by single digits, over is 7-1 in L8.
At neutral site, under is 6-1 in L7.
Vs. big 12, 0-4 ATS in L4.
4th scoring offense, 40.8 ppg. 23rd passing offense, 278.3 ypg. 13th total offense, 475.7 ypg.
9th scoring defense, 18 ppg allowed. 16th pass defense, 186 ypg allowed. 15th total defense, 311.3 ypg allowed.
Kansas State
Kleiman doesn’t expect any opt outs.
4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in L4 games.
After 13+ days of rest, over is 5-1 in L6.
17th rushing offense, 209.62 ypg.
17th scoring defense, 20.1 ppg allowed.
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Iowa
Without QBs Spencer Petras and Alex Pedilla, RB3, WR2,
Vs. non-con, under is 7-0 in L7.
When favored by less than a TD, 8-1 SU and 8-1 ATS in L9.
123rd scoring offense, 17.4 ppg. 122nd rushing offense, 97.25 ypg. 123rd passing offense, 158.2 ypg. 130th total offense, 255.4 ypg.
6th scoring defense, 14.4 ppg allowed. 13th rushing defense, 104.08 ypg allowed. 9th passing defense, 173.8 ypg allowed. 4th total defense, 277.9 ypg allowed.
Kentucky
Will be without Will Levis, RB1 Chris Rodriguez, and RB2 Kavosiey Smoke.
Under is 8-0 in L8 games, and 11-1 on the season.
As an underdog, 6-1 ATS in L7.
As an underdog by less than a TD, 5-0 ATS in L5.
Vs. non-con, 20-0 SU.
105th scoring offense, 22.1 ppg. 109th rushing offense, 120.25 ypg. 107th total offense, 336.3 ypg.
12th scoring defense, 19.1 ppg allowed. 7th passing defense, 173.4 ypg allowed. 18th total defense, 320.2 ypg allowed.
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TCU
When a dog by single digits, under is 7-2 in L9.
Under is 4-1 in L5 games.
6th scoring offense, 40.3 ppg. 25th rushing offense, 200 ypg. 25th passing offense, 273 ypg. 16th total offense, 473 ypg.
Michigan
Will be without Blake Corum.
At neutral site,
Vs. ranked teams, 5-1 ATS in L6, and over is 4-1 in L5.
After 13+ days of rest, under is 4-0 in L4.
7th scoring offense, 40.1 ppg. 6th rushing offense, 243 ypg. 27th total offense, 453.5 ypg.
5th scoring defense, 13.4 ppg allowed. 3rd rushing defense, 85.23 ypg allowed. 22nd passing defense, 191.8 ypg allowed. 3rd total defense, 277.1 ypg allowed.
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Ohio State
Will be without JSN, and TreVeyon Henderson. Seems Kevin Wilson, as of 12/7, will be coaching.
Vs. ranked teams, 0-5 ATS in L5, and 1-8 ATS in L9. Over is 4-1 in L5.
After 13+ days of rest, over is 5-1 in L6.
At neutral site, 1-5 ATS in L6.
Over is 9-1 in L10 games.
Vs. a team with a winning record, over is 6-0 in L6.
2nd scoring offense, 44.5 ppg. 28th rushing offense, 198.5 ypg. 14th passing offense, 294.2 ypg. 6th total offense, 492.7 ypg.
13th scoring defense, 19.3 ppg allowed. 23rd rushing defense, 119.92 ypg allowed. 14th passing defense, 184 ypg allowed. 11th total defense, 303.9 ypg allowed.
Georgia
When favored by single digits, under is 8-2 in L10.
At neutral sites, 6-1 ATS in L7.
Vs. ranked teams, 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in L5. Under is 9-2 in L11.
11th scoring offense, 39.2 ppg. 18th rushing offense, 207 ypg. 19th passing offense, 284.9 ypg. 7th total offense, 491.9 ypg.
2nd scoring defense, 12.8 ppg allowed. 1st rushing defense, 76.92 ypg allowed. 9th total defense, 292 ypg allowed.
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Mississippi State
Playing for Mike Leach. DC Zach Arnett has had the interim tag removed already.
Will be without WR1 Rara Thomas, and RB2 Dillon Johnson.
After 13+ days of rest, 1-10 ATS in L11.
After a spread win, under is 5-1 in L6.
When a dog by single digits, 6-1 ATS in L7.
At neutral sites, 1-4 ATS in L5.
In spreads less than 3, under is 4-1 in L5.
130th rushing offense, 78.83 ypg. 11th passing offense, 314.3 ypg.
Illinois
Will be without DC Ryan Walters. Lost Kevin Kane, AHC/OLB to Illinois too. Promoted Aaron Henry, DB coach, to DC.
In spreads less than 3, 0-7 SU and 0-7 ATS in L7.
At neutral site, 0-5 SU in L5 and under is 9-1 in L10.
97th passing offense, 208.3 ypg.
1st scoring defense, 12.3 ppg allowed. 8th rushing defense, 98.42 ypg allowed. 6th passing defense, 165.4 ypg allowed. 2nd total defense, 263.8 ypg allowed.
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Tulane
Vs. ranked teams, over is 6-1 in L7.
21st scoring offense, 35.2 ppg.
Over is 6-1 in L7 games.
Went 11-2 SU and 11-2 ATS this season.
As an underdog, 5-1 ATS and under is 5-1 in L6.
25th scoring defense, 20.5 ppg allowed. 18th passing defense, 188.5 ypg allowed.
USC
Starting C was carted off in Pac 12 championship. No Jordan Addison.
Over is 7-0 in L7 games.
In bowl games, 5-0 ATS in L5.
At neutral site, 0-9 ATS in L9, and over is 5-1 in L6.
Vs. ranked teams, over is 5-0 in L5.
Vs. non-con, 4-0 ATS in L4.
3rd scoring offense, 41.1 ppg. 5th passing offense, 325.7 ppg allowed. 5th total offense, 499.8 ypg.
112th passing defense, 266.5 ypg allowed. 102nd total defense, 415.1 ypg allowed.
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LSU
Without WR3, S1, Edge.
At neutral site, 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS in L3.
Over is 6-1 in L7 games.
Lost last 2 games SU.
After a spread loss, over is 5-1 in L6.
30th total offense, 442.5 ypg.
Purdue
New HC Ryan Walters, recently Illinois’ DC. Co-OC/QB coach Brian Brohm is interim for bowl game. Will be without QB Aidan O’Connell, WR1 Charlie Jones, TE1 (2nd in receiving) Payne Durham. Will have Drew Brees on the sideline as an assistant.
In bowl games, over is 6-0 in L6.
Vs. SEC teams, over is 4-0 in L4.
As an underdog, over is 9-1 in L10.
In January, 4-0 ATS in L4.
104th rushing offense, 123.08 ypg. 17th passing offense, 287.2 ypg allowed.
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Penn State
Without WR1 Parker Washington.
Vs. ranked teams, 0-7 SU in L7.
After 13+ days of rest, 1-6 SU and 1-6 ATS in L7.
5-0-1 ATS in L6 games.
At neutral site, over is 5-1 in L6.
In January, 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in L6.
18th scoring offense, 35.8 ppg.
9th scoring defense, 18 ppg allowed. 14th rushing defense, 105.17 ypg allowed. 16th total defense, 317.9 ypg allowed.
Utah
Will be without TE1 Dalton Kincaid, RB1 Tavion Thomas.
On a 3 bowl game losing streak.
As a favorite by less than a TD, over is 9-2 in L11.
8th scoring offense, 40 ppg. 10th rushing offense, 220.23 ypg. 17th total offense, 472.7 ypg.
24th scoring defense, 20.4 ppg allowed. 16th rushing defense, 107 ypg allowed. 19th total defense, 325.3 ypg allowed.