Katie Stats' Bowl Preview Part 1, For All Your Gambling Needs

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These first few games suck, there is no way about it. The drama around Louisville Cincinnati was fun, but I think it has died down too much to be fun. For the games that are later in the week, please spot check to see if any more players have opted out before better. Can always @ me on twitter and ask as well.

Anyways, please bet responsibly and on the Barstool Sportsbook.

Miami-Ohio

  • At neutral site, 4-0 ATS in L4, 8-1 ATS in L9. 

  • After a SU win, 1-5 ATS in L6.

  • 113th scoring offense, 20.3 ppg. 121st passing offense, 165.8 ypg. 122nd total offense, 308.4 ypg.

  • 34th scoring defense, 22.5 ppg allowed.

UAB

  • Players sent a letter to their administration asking for Bryce Vincent to be named HC, he is interim currently; are they motivated to play for him or tuned out because they weren’t listened to?

  • 1-6 ATS in L7 games. Over is 4-0 in L4.

  • At neutral site, 3-0 ATS in L3, over is 3-0 in L3.

  • After a SU win, 0-5 ATS in L5.

  • 5th rushing offense, 243.42 ypg. 107th passing offense, 198.5 ypg.

  • 94th rush defense, 170.58 ypg allowed. 24th passing defense, 197.7 ypg allowed.

  • ––––––

    UTSA

    • In games with a 2 or less spread, 7-0 ATS in L7.

    • Vs. non-con, over is 5-0 in L5.

    • 12th scoring offense, 38.7 ppg. 12th passing offense, 308.6 ypg. 9th total offense, 486.1 ypg.

    • 101st passing defense, 253.5 ypg allowed.

    Troy

    • First bowl since 2018.

    • In games with a 2 or less spread, over is 7-1 in L8.

    • At neutral site, over is 7-0 in L7, and 3-0-2 ATS in L5.

    • 106th rushing offense, 121.62 ypg.

    • 8th scoring defense, 17.5 ppg allowed. 22nd rushing defense, 117.38 ypg allowed. 20th total defense, 325.6 ypg allowed.

    ––––––

    They haven’t met since 2013.

    Cincinnati

    • Without Luke Fickell. Will be without their top 3 receivers.

    • How is the team feeling after losing Fickell?

    • Post season neutral site, over is 7-1 in L8.

    • 1-6 ATS in L7 games. 

    • 21st scoring defense, 20.3 ppg allowed. 17th passing defense, 186.4 ypg allowed. 23rd total defense, 328.5 ypg allowed.

    Louisville

    • Will be without QB Malik Cunningham, top receiver Tyler Hudson (600+ more than next up), RB2 Tiyon Evans, and starting CB. For coaches, only TEs, OLBs, and DL coaches are left. DC, RBs, QBs, and LBs coaches followed Satterfield to Cincinnati. OC/WR coach is now HC at WMU.

    • Backup QB Brock Domann led the team the last 3 games.

    • Deion Branch will be interim HC.

    • At neutral sites, over is 4-1 in L5. 

    • Under is 4-0 in L4 and 5-1 in L6 games.

    • After a SU loss, 4-0 SU, and 4-0 ATS in L4.

    • 19th scoring defense, 20.2 ppg allowed. 35th total defense, 347.1 ypg allowed.

    ––––––

    Florida

    • QB Jack Miller is expected to start, hasn’t thrown a pass since 2021. Will be without about 20 scholarship players, including, Anthony Richardson, starting guard, LB1, RB3, DL1, and top WR Justin Shorter.  

    • At neutral site, 0-4 ATS in L4. 

    • After a SU loss, 4-0 ATS in L4.

    • 16th rushing offense, 213.67 ypg.

    • 101st rushing defense, 176.17 ypg allowed. 103rd total defense, 415.8 ypg allowed.

    Oregon State

    • Seems RB1 Damien Martinez is healthy and ready to go.

    • When a 7+ point favorite, 9-1 ATS in L10.

    • After 7+ days of rest, 8-1 ATS in L9.

    • 6-0 ATS in L6 games.

    • 27th rushing offense, 199.17 ypg. 103rd passing offense, 200.4 ypg.

    • 20th rushing defense, 114 ypg allowed. 32nd total defense, 342.3 ypg allowed.

    ––––––

    Washington State

    • Without top WR De’Zhaun Stribling, WR3 Donovan Ollie, WR4, LB2 and LB3.

    • At neutral site, under is 4-0 in L4, and 6-1 in L7, and 0-6 ATS in L6, and 1-10 ATS in L11. As a neutral site dog, 0-4 ATS in L4.

    • Vs. non-con, under is 5-0 in L5.

    • After a SU loss, 7-1 ATS in L8.

    • 113th rushing offense, 112 ypg. 

    • 113th passing defense, 266.7 ypg allowed.

    Fresno State

    • On an 8 game SU win streak.

    • Vs. non-con, 0-5 ATS in L5.  

    • 96th rushing offense, 125.23 ypg. 27th passing offense, 269.8 ypg.

    • 25th scoring defense, 20.5 ppg allowed. 23rd passing defense, 193.3 ypg allowed.

    ––––––

    In their L4 meetings, the favorite is 4-0 ATS. The L3 meetings went under.

    Rice

    • After 7+ days of rest, under is 5-0 in L5.

    • 119th scoring defense, 33.8 ppg allowed.

    Southern Miss

    • 5-1 ATS in L6 games.

    • Vs. non-con, 7-0 ATS in L7.

    • At neutral site, 1-6 ATS in L7, does go back to 2009.

    • After 7+ days of rest, 1-6 ATS in L7.

    • 94th scoring offense, 24.3 ppg. 105th rushing offense, 122.67 ypg. 96th passing offense, 209.3 ypg. 109th total offense, 331.9 ypg.

    ––––––

    SMU

    • Will be without WR1 Rashee Rice, led by 65 catches and 800 yards. WR3 and senior OL.

    • At neutral site, under is 4-0 in L4, does go back to 2009.

    • After not covering, 1-6 ATS in L7. 

    • 13th scoring offense, 38.4 ppg. 6th passing offense, 324.9 ypg. 12th total offense, 479.8 ypg.

    • 123rd scoring defense, 34.7 ppg allowed. 121st rushing defense, 203.17 ypg allowed. 118th total defense, 446 ypg allowed.

    BYU

    • Will be without RB2. QB Jaren Hall seems unlikely.

    • At neutral site, 0-4 ATS in L4, and under is 4-1 in L5. 

    • As of 12/12: “Kalani Sitake says Jaren Hall has not been participating in practices as much as they would like, but he has not been ruled out of playing in the bowl game.”

    • 100th scoring defense, 30 ppg allowed. 98th rushing defense, 172.83 ypg allowed. 93rd in total defense, 408.5 ypg allowed.

    ––––––

    North Texas 

    • HC Seth Littrell was fired. DC Phill Bennett is interim.

    • At neutral site, 0-4 ATS in L4, was a dog in all.

    • 0-3 ATS in L3 games.

    • As a favorite, 11-0 SU in L11.

    • In December, 0-8 ATS in L8.

    • 24th rushing offense, 201.69. T20th total offense, 463.8 ypg.

    • 110th scoring offense, 31.5 ppg allowed. 107th rushing defense, 188.54 ypg allowed. 115th pass defense, 271.7 ypg allowed. 124th total defense, 460.2 ypg allowed.

    Boise

    • After 7+ days of rest, under is 6-1 in L7.

    • After a SU loss, 14-0 SU in L14, and 7-0-1 ATS in L8.

    • After not covering, 7-1-1 ATS in L9.

    • In December, under is 6-0 in L6, and 1-5 ATS in L6.

    • 109th passing offense, 194.7 ypg.

    • 11th scoring defense, 18.5 ppg allowed. 25th rushing defense, 120.62 ypg allowed. 5th passing defense, 160.7 ypg allowed. 6th total defense, 281.3 ypg allowed.

    ––––––

    Marshall

    • After 7+ days of rest, under is 6-1 in L7.

    • After not covering, under is 5-0 in L5.

    • As a favorite, under is 6-1 in L7. 

    • In December, 0-5 SU in L5.

    • 95th scoring offense, 24.2 ppg. 21st rushing offense, 205.58 ypg. 104th passing offense, 200.3 ypg.

    • 7th scoring defense, 16.2 ppg allowed. 4th rushing defense, 88.75 ypg allowed. 10th total defense, 292.8 ypg allowed.

    UConn

    • At neutral site, 0-4 ATS in L4.

    • After 7+ days of rest, under is 4-0 in L4.

    • 115th scoring offense, 19.8 ppg. 32nd rushing offense, 194.92 ypg. 127th passing offense, 106.9 ypg. 125th total offense, 301.8 ypg.

    ––––––

    Eastern Michigan

    • In december, over is 4-0 in L4. 

    • As an underdog, 5-0 ATS in L5. 

    • 94th total offense, 361.3 ypg.

    San Jose State

    • 0-6 ATS in L6 games.

    • As a favorite, 0-5 ATS in L5. 

    • 125th rushing offense, 92.45 ypg. 96th total offense, 356.5 ypg.

    • 21st scoring defense, 20.3 ppg allowed. 287th rushing defense, 122.64 ypg allowed. 26th total defense, 333 ypg allowed.

    ––––––

    Liberty

    • Without HC Hugh Freeze. Co-DC/LB coach Josh Aldridge is interim.

    • After 7+ days of rest, 6-1 ATS in L7.

    • On a 3 game losing SU streak.

    • After a SU loss, 1-6 ATS in L7. 

    • In December, 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in L4.

    • As an underdog, 10-1 ATS in L11, and under is 5-1 in L6.

    • 28th passing defense, 201.1 ypg allowed.

    Toledo

    • After a spread win, over is 8-0 in L8.

    • After a SU win, over is 10-1 in L11.

    • As a favorite, 1-5 ATS in L6, and under is 4-1 in L5. 

    • 15th passing defense, 185.5 ypg allowed. 25th total defense, 331.8 ypg allowed.

    ––––––

    Western Kentucky

    • QB Austin Reed entered his name in the portal, and has withdrawn it. TBD if he is playing.

    • As an underdog, 0-7 SU in L7, and 1-12 in L13.

    • As single digit underdog, over is 6-1 in L7.

    • 18th scoring offense, 35.8 ppg. 2nd passing offense, 339 ypg. 10th total offense, 483.3 ypg.

    South Alabama

    • Vs. non-conference, 4-0 ATS in L4.

    • 14th scoring defense, 19.4 ppg allowed. 5th rushing defense, 88.83 ypg allowed. 12th total defense, 304.7 ypg allowed.

    ––––––

    Baylor

    • On a 3 game losing streak. DC Ron Roberts was let go at the end of the season. 

    • When a single digit favorite, 0-4 SU and 0-4 ATS in L4.

    • At neutral site, under is 6-1 in L7. 

    • After not covering, 8-1 ATS in L9.

    • Vs. non-con, 5-1 ATS in L6.

    Air Force

    • Under is 5-1 in L6 games.

    • After a spread win, 0-4 ATS and under is 4-0 in L4.

    • When a dog by single digits, under is 7-1-1 in L9.

    • After 13+ days of rest, under is 8-1 in L9.

    • 1st rushing offense, 330.92 ypg. 131st passing offense, 67.8 ypg. 

    • 3rd scoring defense, 13.3 ppg allowed. 9th rushing defense, 99.75 ypg allowed. 2nd passing defense, 156.7 ypg allowed. 1st total defense, 256.4 ypg allowed.

    ––––––

    Louisiana-Lafayette

    • Vs. non-con, over is 6-1 in L7. 

    • As an underdog, under is 7-2 in L9.

    • After a SU win, over is 6-0 in L6.

    • After a spread win, over is 6-1 in L7.

    Houston

    • After a loss, over is 5-1 in L6. 

    • 14th scoring offense, 37.2 ppg. 7th passing offense, 321.1 ypg. 20th total offense, 463.8 ypg.

    • 117th scoring defense, 33.5 ppg allowed. 126th passing defense, 285.7 ypg allowed. 110th total defense, 429.8 ypg allowed.

    ––––––

    Wake Forest

    • Rumors of Sam Hartman transferring as on 12/7. Will be without RB2.

    • 16th scoring offense, 36.8 ppg. 10th passing offense, 314.6 ypg.

    • 117th pass defense, 272.8 ypg allowed. 94th total defense, 410.3 ypg allowed.

    Missouri

    • Will be without WR1.

    • 0-3 SU in L3 bowls, under is 3-0.

    • After 13+ days of rest, under is 7-1 in L8. 

    • At neutral site, under is 5-0 in L5.

    • 28th total defense, 337.1 ypg allowed.

    ––––––

    Middle Tennessee

    • After a SU win, over is 7-0 in L7.

    • In Bowl games, over is 5-0 in L5, and 7-1 in L8.

    • Vs. non-con, 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS in L6. 

    • 99th rushing offense, 123.33 ypg.

    • 27th rush defense, 121.92 ypg allowed. 129th pass defense, 291.3 ypg allowed. 98th total defense, 413.3 ypg allowed.

    San Diego State

    • After a SU loss, under is 5-1 in L6.

    • 109th scoring offense, 21.3 ppg. 119th passing offense, 170.9 ypg. 117th total offense, 321.5 ypg.

    • 19th scoring defense, 20.2 ppg allowed. 27th total defense, 335.4 ypg allowed.

    ––––––

    New Mexico State

    • L4 games went over, 5-1 ATS in L6 games.

    • 120th pass offense, 169.3 ypg. 115th total offense, 324.6 ypg.

    • 13th pass defense, 183.7 ypg allowed.

    Bowling Green

    • In bowl games, over is 5-0 in L5.

    • Vs. out of conference, over is 4-0 in L4. 

    • As a favorite, 0-4 ATS in L4.

    • 121st rushing offense, 101 ypg. 106th total offense, 337.8 ypg.

    • 116th scoring defense, 33.3 ppg allowed. 103rd pass defense, 257.7 ypg allowed. 105th total defense, 420.7 ypg allowed.