College Football Betting Strategies (Week 13)
Ladies and gentleman, we've finally made it. It's the last week of the season. I can't believe I actually stuck this out til the end. Overall this experiment has taught me nothing, other than gambling is hard, and having a good strategy isn't nearly as important as actually knowing about College Football.
Now is the Black Friday portion of the blog where I try to sell you something. From now through Monday, Barstool Sports is offering 20% off on EVERYTHING in the Barstool Sports Store.
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Now lets get down to business. Here were the standings heading into last week
Low Team Totals: 24-21, $157 (+1.57u)
Giant Money Line Favorites: 39-6, -$103 (-1.03u)
Move The Line Overs: 31-13-1, -$391 (-3.91u)
1st Quarter Unders: 20-25, -$901 (-9.01u)
Long Shot Parlays: 1-44, -$1,926 (-19.26u)
And here are last weeks results:
Giant Money Line Favorites: 39-6, -$103 (1.03u)
Indiana 39 @ Michigan State 21: Michigan State ML
Loss $100Wisconsin 15 @ Nebraska 14: Wisconsin ML
Won $25Texas 55 @ Kansas 14: Texas ML
Won $28Western Kentucky 17 @ Auburn 41: Auburn ML
Won $46Syracuse 35 @ Wake Forest 45: Wake Forest ML
Won $26
4-1, $25 (+0.25u) this week. I should have been going with games like this all year. Games around -200/-300 instead of -1000. This puts me within striking distance of being positive money at the end of the year.
Total: 43-7, -$78 (-0.78u)
Move The Line Overs: 31-13-1, -$391 (-3.91u)
Ohio State 43 @ Maryland 30: Over 55
Won $32San Diego State 34 @ New Mexico 10: Over 29
Won $30Texas 55 @ Kansas 14: Over 55
Won $32Iowa 13 @ Minnesota 10: Over 24.5
Loss $100Akron @ Buffalo: Over 36.5
POSTPONED
3-1, -$6 (-0.6u) this week. Had my first postponed game of the year, that's exciting. Probably good considering there was 1000 feet of snow and Buffalo and I was on the over. Although I really needed that 4th win to get in the positive. Oh well, this strategy is already a loser anyways.
Total: 34-14-1, -$385 (-3.85u)
Low Team Total Overs: 24-21, $157 (+1.57u)
San Diego State 34 @ New Mexico 10: New Mexico over 9.5
Won $70Illinois 17 @ Michigan 19: Illinois over 10.5
Won $95Northwestern 9 @ Purdue 17: Northwestern over 12.5
Loss $100Boston College 0 @ Notre Dame 44: Boston College over 10.5
Loss $100New Mexico State 14 @ Missouri 45: New Mexico State over 7.5
Won $98
3-2, $61 (+0.61u) this week. So close to having a successful strategy. Really wish I hadn't picked that snow game between Boston College and Notre Dame. But very good overall
Total: 27-23, $218 (+2.18u)
1st Quarter Unders: 20-25, -$901 (-9.01u)
Navy 17 @ UCF 14: Under 12.5
1Q points 7: Won $85UConn 17 @ Army 37: Under 9.5
1Q points 10: Loss $100Colorado State 12 @ Air Force 24: Under 9.5
1Q points 7: Won $100USC 48 @ UCLA 45: Under 16.5
1Q points 14: Won $105South Florida 42 @ Tulsa 48: Under 13.5
1Q points 17: Loss $100
3-2, $90 (+0.90u) this week. Not too shabby at all. That's gotta be the first positive week in a while. The 1st Quarter totals have been flying over all year, with the exception of a crazy hot first 2 weeks. Good to get a win again.
Total: 23-27, -$991 (-9.91u)
Long Shot Parlays: 1-44, -$1,926 (-19.26u)
Parlay 1 (ACC)
Duke 26 @ Pittsburgh 28: Pittsburgh -7.5
Boston College 0 @ Notre Dame 44: Over 42.5
Miami 10 @ Clemson 40: Miami +19
NC State 10 @ Louisville 25: NC State ML +155
Georgia Tech 21 @ North Carolina 17: Georgia Tech +21.5Loss $100
Parlay 2 (SEC)
Western Kentucky 17 @ Auburn 41: Auburn -5.5
Ole Miss 27 @ Arkansas 42: Ole Miss -2.5
Florida 24 @ Vanderbilt 31: Under 57.5
Tennessee 38 @ South Carolina 63: Under 66
UMass 3 @ Texas A&M 20: Mass +33.5Loss $100
Parlay 3 (Big 10)
Ohio State 43 @ Maryland 30: Ohio State -27.5
Illinois 17 @ Michigan 19: Michigan -17.5
Northwestern 9 @ Purdue 17: Northwestern +18.5
Wisconsin 15 @ Nebraska 14: Under 38.5
Iowa 13 @ Minnesota 10: Under 32.5Loss $100
Parlay 4 (Big 12)
TCU 29 @ Baylor 28: TCU -2.5
Texas 55 @ Kansas 14: Texas -9
Kansas State 48 @ West Virginia 31: Under 54
Oklahoma State 13 @ Oklahoma 28: Oklahoma State +7
Texas Tech 14 @ Iowa State 10: Texas Tech +3.5Loss $100
Parlay 5 (PAC-12)
USC 48 @ UCLA 45: USC -2.5
USC 48 @ UCLA 45: Over 76.5
Colorado 7 @ Washington 54: Washington -31
Utah 17 @ Oregon 20: Oregon ML +105
Washington State 31 @ Arizona 20: Arizona ML +133Loss $100
0-5, -$500 (-5.0u) this week. So fucking close on the PAC-12 parlay. Not so much on the rest. I'm going to have to hit at least 2 parlays this final week. I have faith.
Total: 1-49, $2,426 (-24.26u)
Here are the standings heading into this final week
Low Team Total Overs: 27-23, $218 (+2.18u)
Giant Money Line Favorites: 43-7, -$78 (-0.78u)
Move The Line Overs: 34-14-1, -$385 (-3.85u)
1st Quarter Unders: 23-27, -$991 (-9.91u)
Long Shot Parlays: 1-49, $2,426 (-24.26u)
Now, for the final time of the 2022 College Football Season, let's make some picks. I'll be doing something for Bowl Season as well, but I need to change up the format to make it more interesting somehow.
Giant Money Line Favorites: 43-7, -$78 (-0.78u)
Akron @ Northern Illinois: Northern Illinois ML
$100 to win $28Iowa State @ TCU: TCU ML
$100 to win $27Kansas @ Kansas State: Kansas State ML
$100 to win $23Michigan @ Ohio State: Ohio State ML
$100 to win $27Georgia State @ Marshall: Marshall ML
$100 to win $45
Move The Line Overs: 34-14-1, -$385 (-3.85u)
Pittsburgh @ Miami: Over 35.5
$100 to win $32Purdue @ Indiana: Over 45.5
$100 to win $34Auburn @ Alabama: Over 41
$100 to win $32Michigan @ Ohio State: Over 47.5
$100 to win $32Georgia Tech @ Georgia: Over 41.5
$100 to win $33
Low Team Total Overs: 27-23, $218 (+2.18u)
Army @ UMass: UMass over 12.5
$100 to win $82Utah @ Colorado: Colorado over 10.5
$100 to win $98Auburn @ Alabama: Auburn over 13.5
$100 to win $92New Mexico St. @ Liberty: New Mexico State over 13.5
$100 to win $92Georgia Tech @ Georgia: Georgia Tech over 6.5
$100 to win $77
1st Quarter Unders: 23-27, -$991 (-9.91u)
Georgia State @ Marshall: 1Q under 9.5
$100 to win $95Louisville @ Kentucky: 1Q under 9.5
$100 to win $91Pittsburgh @ Miami: 1Q under 9.5
$100 to win $92Minnesota @ Wisconsin: 1Q under 7.5
$100 to win $64Illinois @ Northwestern: 1Q under 7.5
$100 to win $74
Long Shot Parlays: 1-49, $2,426 (-24.26u)
Parlay 1 (ACC)
Wake Forest @ Duke: Wake Forest ML -157
Pittsburgh @ Miami: Pittsburgh -6.5
Louisville @ Kentucky: Kentucky ML -159
South Carolina @ Clemson: South Carolina +14.5
Georgia Tech @ Georgia: Georgia Tech +36$100 to win $1,733
Parlay 2 (Big 10)
Nebraska @ Iowa: Under 39.5
Michigan State @ Penn State: Michigan State +19
Purdue @ Indiana: Indiana +10.5
Minnesota @ Wisconsin: Wisconsin ML -165
Michigan @ Ohio State: Ohio State -9$100 to win $2,020
Parlay 3 (Big 12)
Kansas @ Kansas State: Kansas State -11.5
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech: Oklahoma -2
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State: Under 62.5
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State: West Virginia +8.5
Iowa State @ TCU: Iowa State +10$100 to win $2,303
Parlay 4 (SEC)
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt: Over 64.5
Arkansas @ Missouri: Under 55.5
Florida @ Florida State: Florida +9.5
Auburn @ Alabama: Auburn +22
LSU @ Texas A&M: Texas A&M +10$100 to win $2,441
Parlay 5 (PAC-12)
Notre Dame @ USC: Under 64
Notre Dame @ USC: Notre Dame +155
Washington @ Washington State: Over 60
Washington @ Washington State: Washington ML -125
Oregon @ Oregon State: Oregon ML -150$100 to win $2,490