Week 7: Searching The Mud For Moneymaking Underdogs

Not going to lie, this week was tough. Tons of short dogs to like, but not many around the TD range that I’m confident in. No DeVito for the Illini kept them off my list and Levis back for Kentucky dropped that line 3.5 points. I had to dig deep and sometimes that means you have to play in the mud. So I'll start with my grossest dog first.

Michigan St +7.5

Mel Tucker’s squad has fallen on tough times, but I’m not sure they should be over a TD dog in East Lansing. I would love to say something positive here, but there’s not much. Sure, Wisconsin interm HC Jim Leonard is vying for a permanent position but his new squad has been a terrible road favorite covering just one of their last 6. If Payton Thorne can keep the ball out of defenders hands, the Spartans have a shot to win it +230.

Penn St +7

Coincidently the road team has covered and won in the last four in series. Penn St off a bye. Wolverines have played the 99th toughest schedule plus Harbaugh historically hasn't been great playing ranked opponents 0-9 ATS as of late.

James Franklin while not great as a favorite... thrives in the road underdog spot. 11-4 ATS in his last 15. If he doesn't play conservative here we have a live dog in the Nittany Lions, who’s top ranked rushing defense will keep this one close in Ann Arbor. +215 on the moneyline.

Duke +7

Why is this line so short? Let’s check out the narratives: Duke gets beat up on by Georgia Tech, UNC gets a marquee win in Miami. “Not so fast”, Miami gifted that W to the Heels and the Yellow Jackets have now won two straight after firing Collins. 

Tar Heels headed into a bye week. All they have to do is beat a lowly Blue Devils squad. What could go wrong?

Duke has the better defense here. The favorite in this series? Just 6-13-1 ATS. Am I crazy for calling the upset? Probably, but give me the 2/1.

This weeks parlay pays 29/1 at the Barstool Sportsbook.