Katie Stats' Week 6 Betting Prep Sheet

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Week 6. I had a dog shit gambling week last weekend, but at least my lock hit. Still 30-22 on the season. Not great, but still over .500. Thank you to everyone that reads these. Bet with the numbers and your own eyeballs. And see you soon Rutgers! 

Enjoy this gif of me being startled by Doogs. 

Alabama

  • Vs. Texas A&M, over is 4-0 in L4 meetings. 

  • Lost to Texas A&M last year as 18 point favorites. 

  • At home against unranked teams, 6-1 ATS in L7. 

  • 1H vs SEC, 4-0 ATS in L4. 

  • Bryce Young is a GTD, -24 line looks like Vegas thinks he’s playing

App State

  • Vs. Texas State, under is 5-0 in L5 meetings.

Arizona

  • Vs. P12, over is 5-0 in L5. 

  • Over is 6-1-1 in L8 games.

  • At home, 5-1 ATS in L6.

Arizona State

  • At home, under is 4-0-1 in L5. 

Arkansas

  • Vs. ranked teams, over is 4-0 in L4.

  • As away dog, over is 6-1 in L7.

  • KJ Jefferson is a GTD as of Wednesday. Hasn’t practiced yet this week.

Arkansas State

  • On a 7-1 ATS run in L8.

Army

  • 1-5 ATS in L6 games. 

  • When a 14+ dog, 4-0 ATS in L4, and under is 12-1 in L13. 

Auburn

  • Vs. SEC, under is 6-1 in L7. 

  • Vs. Georgia, 0-5 ATS in L5, and 1-8 ATS in L9 meetings. Under is 5-0 in L5, and 8-1 in L9. When @ Georgia, 0-7 ATS in L7 meetings.

  • After a SU loss, under is 4-0 in L4, and 1-4 ATS in L5. 

  • Vs. top 10 teams, under is 4-0 in L4, and 6-1 in L7. 

  • As a 21+ point dog, 0-5 ATS in L5. Goes back to 2011.

  • As away team, under is 10-1 in L11. As away dog, under is 6-1 in L7. 

  • First away game this year, first 5 were all home.

Ball State

  • As away team, 0-4 ATS in L4.

Boston College

  • 1-6 ATS in L7 games. Covered for the first time last weekend.

  • Vs. Clemson, road team is 6-1 ATS in L7 meetings.

BYU

  • Over is 6-1 in L7 games. 0-3 ATS in L3 games. 

  • Against unranked teams, 1-5 ATS in L6, and over is 5-0 in L5. 

Cincinnati

  • At home (favorite), 4-0 ATS in L4, 6-1 ATS in L7.

  • Vs. USF, 0-7 ATS in L7 meetings. (meet annually)

  • When 21+ favorite, 1-5 ATS in L6. 

Charlotte

  • Over is 9-1 in L10 games. 

Clemson

  • When a 14+ point favorite, 1-6 ATS in L7. 

  • When away as a 14+ point favorite, 5-1 ATS in L6. 

  • Vs. BC, road team is 6-1 ATS in L7 meetings.

  • Vs. ACC teams, over is 5-1 in L6.

  • 28 for 28 in red zone attempts, only 7 resulting in a FG. Tied 1st nationally with score %.

Colorado State

  • Vs. Nevada, 0-4 ATS in L4 meetings. 

  • As away, 0-5 ATS in L5.

  • 0-10 ATS in L10 games. 

Eastern Michigan

  • Vs. Western Michigan, 5-0-1 ATS in L6 meetings. 

FIU

  • At home, 1-9 ATS in L10.

Florida

  • Vs. Mizzou, under is 4-0 in L4 meetings. 

  • T#113 in rushing defense at 193 ypg allowed. 

Florida State

  • Vs. NC State, under is 6-1 in L7 meetings, and FSU is 1-5 ATS in L6 meetings. Favorite is 4-0 in L4 meetings. 

  • As an underdog, under is 7-1 in L8.

  • As an away underdog, under is 5-1 in L6. 

  • Fresno State

    • Still without QB Jake Haener.

    Georgia

    • Vs. Auburn, 5-0 ATS in L5, and 8-1 ATS in L9 meetings. Under  is 5-0 in L5, and 8-1 in L9. When home vs Auburn, 7-0 ATS in L7 meetings. 

    • When a 21+ favorite, 2-6 ATS in L8.

    • As home favorite, 0-5 ATS in L5, and under is 5-1 in L6. 

    Georgia Southern

    • 7-1 ATS in L8 games.

    Georgia Tech

    • Under is 7-0 in L7.

    Houston

    • As away team, 6-1 in L7. 

    Illinois

    • 7-1 ATS in L8 games. 

    Indiana

    • 1-8 ATS in L9 games, and 13-2 ATS in L15. 

    • As a 14+ dog, 0-4 ATS in L4, and over is 6-1 in L7. 

    • Vs ranked teams, 0-6 ATS in L6. 

    • At home, 1-6 ATS in L7. 

    Iowa State

    • 1H Vs. B12, 1-7 ATS in L8.

    • When an underdog, under is 5-0 in L5. 

    • When a home dog, 5-0-1 ATS in L6. 

    • Vs ranked teams, 0-5 ATS in L5, and under is 8-1 in L9. The one over is the most recent. 

    • Vs teams with winning record, 1-6 ATS in L7. 

    Kansas

    • 8-0 ATS in L8 games.

    • Vs B12, 5-0 ATS in L5. 

    • Vs ranked teams, over is 7-1 in L8.

    • At home, 4-0 ATS in L4.

    • As a dog, 6-0 ATS in L6.  

    Kansas State

    • 5-1 ATS in L6 games. 

    • As away favorite, under is 4-0 in L4. 

    • When a favorite by less than a TD, under is 9-1 in L10. 

    Kentucky

    • Vs. South Carolina, 8-1 ATS in L9 meetings. Under is 6-1 in L7 meetings.

    • Under is 5-1 in L6 games. 

    Louisiana Tech

    • At home, over is 8-1 in L9.

    Louisville

    • Vs. Virginia, under is 6-0 in L6 meetings.

    LSU

    • L3 games went under. 

    • At home, 4-0 ATS in L4.

    • As a dog, 4-1-1 ATS in L6.

    • Vs SEC, under is 5-1 in L6. 

    • Haven’t played Tennessee since 2017.

    • 6th nationally in red zone defense. Opponents have only been in red zone 11 times too.

    Maryland

    • 7-0 ATS in L7 games. 

    Miami

    • Vs. UNC, over is 4-0 in L4 meetings. 

    Michigan

    • 1H vs big 10, under is 7-0 in L7, and 9-1 in L10.

    • Vs. Big 10, 6-1 ATS in L7. 

    Michigan State

    • At +25, biggest underdog spread since 1991.

    • Vs Ohio State, 0-5 ATS in L5 meetings, and under is 6-1 in L7 meetings.

    • Under is 5-1 in L6 games. 

    Mississippi State

    • At home, over is 5-1 in L6, and 4-1-1 ATS in L6. 

    Missouri

    • As away game, under is 4-0 in L4.

    NC State

    • After a SU loss, 6-0 ATS in L6. 

    • Vs. FSU, under is 6-1 in L7 meetings, and NC State is 5-1 ATS in L6 meetings. Favorite is 4-0 in L4 meetings. 

    • Vs. ACC, over is 4-0 in L4. 

    Nevada

    • Vs. Colorado State, 4-0 ATS in L4 meetings.

    New Mexico

    • Vs. Wyoming, under is 5-0 in L5 meetings

    North Carolina

    • Vs. Miami, over is 4-0 in L4 meetings. 

    • As a dog, over is 6-1 in L7.

    Northern Illinois

    • Over is 6-0 in L6 games. 

    Notre Dame

    • After a bye week, under is 4-0 in L4. 

    Ohio State

    • Vs. Michigan State, 5-0 ATS in L5 meetings, and under is 6-1 in L7 meetings.

    • As away team, over is 8-1-1 in L10. As away favorite, over is 5-1 in L6. 

    Ohio University

    • As home favorite, 1-10 ATS in L11.

    Oklahoma

    • First year as a dog to Texas since 2009.

    • Oklahoma hasn’t lost 3 games in a row since 1998.

    • At neutral site, 5-0 ATS in L5.

    • After a SU loss, over is 6-1 in L7. 

    • Dillon Gabriel’s status is up in the air.

    • #119th in rushing defense at 198.2 ypg allowed. #14 in rushing offense at 220.8 ypg.

    Oklahoma State

    • After a spread win, 11-1 ATS in L12.

    • Over is 4-1 in L5. 

    • At home, over is 5-1 in L6. 

    • Against unranked, 8-1 ATS in L9.

    • Vs Texas Tech at home, 0-4 ATS in L4 meetings. 

    Ole Miss

    • Under is 12-1 in L13 games.

    • Vs. SEC, under is 7-0 in L7.

    • As away team, under is 5-0 in L5. 

    Oregon

    • Over is 4-0 in L4 games.

    • When a 10+ point favorite, over is 6-1 in L7. 

    Pitt

    • Vs. Virginia Tech, 7-1 ATS in L8 meetings.

    • After a SU loss, 5-0 ATS in L5.

    • As a home favorite, 0-5-1 ATS in L6.

    Rutgers

    • At home, over is 7-1 in L8.

    • As a home dog, 0-6 ATS in L6, and 1-8 ATS in L9.

    South Carolina

    • Vs. Kentucky, 1-8 ATS in L9 meetings. Under is 6-1 in L7 meetings.

    • Over is 4-0 in L4 games. 

    • As away team, 0-4 ATS in L4, and over is 5-0 in L5, and 10-1 in L11.

    • As away dog, 1-6 ATS in L7, and over is 8-0 in L8. 

    • Vs ranked teams, 1-5 ATS in L6, and over is 5-0 in L5. 

    • After a SU win, 0-5-1 ATS in L6, and over is 6-1 in L7. 

    South Florida

    • As away team, under is 5-1 in L6. 

    • Vs. Cincinnati, 7-0 ATS in L7 meetings. (meet annually)

    • As a 21+ dog, 6-0 ATS in L6, and over is 5-0 in L5. 

    • Vs. ranked teams, 6-0 ATS in L6, and over is 5-0 in L5. 

    • At ranked teams, 10-1 ATS in L11.

    Stanford

    • 0-11 ATS in L11 games. Over is 5-1 in L6 games. 

    • At home, 0-6 ATS in L6.

    TCU

    • After a SU win, over is 9-0 in L9. 

    • 4-0 ATS this year.

    • As away favorite, 5-0 ATS in L5. 

    • After a spread win, over is 6-0 in L6.

    Tennessee

    • Vs SEC, over is 5-0 in L5, and 7-1 in L8. Vs SEC, 1-5 ATS in L6. 

    • Over is 9-1 in L10 games.

    • Favored over ranked teams, over is 9-1 in L10.

    • Haven’t played LSU since 2017.

    • After a spread loss, over is 7-0 in L7.

    • Tied for 1st in red zone conversations. Scored on all 22 attempts, only 3 were FGs.

    Texas

    • First year favored over Oklahoma since 2009.

    • Trending towards Quinn Ewers being back.

    • 4-1 ATS this year. 

    Texas A&M

    • When a 21+ dog, 5-0 ATS in L5. 

    • Vs. ranked teams, under is 4-0 in L4 and 5-1 in L6. 

    • Last year beat Alabama as an 18 point underdog. L4 meetings went over.

    • 1H vs SEC, 0-5 ATS in L5. 

    • On the road, haven’t covered L3.

    • Max Johnson is a GTD as of Wednesday. 

    Texas State

    • Vs. App State, under is 5-0 in L5 meetings.

    • As a home dog, 7-1 ATS in L8.

    Texas Tech

    • After a SU loss, 4-0 ATS in L4, 6-1 ATS in L7. 

    • This season, over is 4-1 in L5. 

    • @ Oklahoma State, 4-0 ATS in L4 meetings. 

    UCLA

    • Vs. P12, 5-0 ATS in L5, and over is 6-1 in L7. 1H vs P12, over is 7-0 in L7.

    • As a dog vs ranked teams, over is 5-1 in L6. 

    • Vs Utah, 0-5 ATS in L5 meetings. Didn’t cover by an average of 19.1 ppg. At home vs Utah, 0-4 ATS in L4 meetings.

    USC

    • Vs. Washington State, under is 5-1 in L6 meetings. 

    • At home, over is 8-1 in L9.

    • When a 10+ favorite, over is 7-1 in L8.

    • Vs. Pac12, 1-7 ATS in L8.

    Utah

    • 4-0 ATS in L4, 6-1 ATS in L7 games. 

    • Vs ranked teams, 5-0 ATS in L5.  When favored over ranked, 4-0 ATS in L4. 

    • Vs. UCLA, 5-0 ATS in L5 meetings. Covered by an average of 19.1 ppg. At UCLA, 4-0 ATS in L4 meetings. 

    Utah State

    • As a home dog, under is 5-0 in L5.  

    UTSA

    • Over is 9-0 in L9 games. 

    Virginia

    • Vs. Louisville, under is 6-0 in L6 meetings.

    Virginia Tech

    • Vs. Pitt, 1-7 ATS in L8 meetings. 

    • As away team, under is 6-1 in L7.

    Wake Forest 

    • At home, 6-1 ATS in L7. 

    • When 14+ favorite, under is 6-1 in L7. the over is the most recent. 

    Washington

    • Over is 6-0 in L6.

    • As away team, 1-6 ATS in L7, and under is 7-1 in L8. That 1 over is last week’s. 

    • As away favorite, 0-5 ATS in L5.

    Washington State

    • Vs. P12, 9-1 ATS in L10.

    • 1H vs P12, 7-0 ATS in L7, 11-1 ATS in L12. 

    • Vs. USC, under is 5-1 in L6 meetings. 

    • Under is 5-1 in L6 games. 4-0 ATS in L4 games. 

    • As away team, 5-1 ATS in L6. 

    Western Kentucky

    • Over is 10-1 in L11 games.

    • As an away dog, 5-1 ATS in L6, and over is 5-0 in L5. 

    Western Michigan

    • Vs. Eastern Michigan, 0-5-1 ATS in L6 meetings. 

    Wisconsin

    • Vs. B10, over is 5-1 in L6.

    Wyoming

    • Vs. New Mexico, under is 5-0 in L5 meetings.

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