Katie Stats' Week 4 Prep Sheet And See You In Knoxville
Wade Payne. Shutterstock Images.Stats time. If you see me in Knoxville in those checkered overalls, mind ya business. When else do you get a chance to wear them? If you're in Knoxville, but not at The Hill at 1:30pm, you're dead to me. It is the Barstool CFB Show, plus Macrodosing, plus Will Compton.
Why would you miss it? David Blattman says "It is going to be fun," and that is a direct quote. Anyway, stat time:
My card will be on my twitter today.
Alabama
Vs. Vanderbilt, under is 5-1 in L6.
As a 30+ point home favorite against unranked, 8-1 ATS in L9.
App State
1H vs. Sun Belt, 0-6 ATS in L6, and 1-8 in L9.
Arizona State
Vs Utah, last year lost SU 35-21 at home.
Under is 5-0-1 in L6 games.
Arkansas
Neutral site vs. Texas A&M. 4-0 ATS in L4 meetings.
Against ranked teams, 5-1 ATS in L6.
Last year’s win (20-10) broke a 9 year losing streak vs. Texas A&M.
At neutral sites, under is 4-0, and 4-0 ATS in L4.
Auburn
Vs. SEC, under is 7-2 in L9, and 12-3 in L15.
When a single digit favorite, under is 7-1 in L8.
0-4 ATS in L4, and 1-7 ATS in L8.
If Bryan Harsin loses this game, is he fired?
QB TJ Finley is out on Saturday. Calzada/Robby Ashford time.
Baylor
Under is 9-1 in L10 games.
As of Monday, +2 to unranked Iowa State.
As away, under is 7-1 in L8. As away dog, under is 5-0 in L5.
Vs Big 12 teams, under is 4-0.
Vs Iowa State, 4-0 ATS in L4, and were a dog all 4 times.
Boston College
0-5 ATS in L5 games. Under is 9-2 in L11.
As away underdog, under is 4-0 in L4.
As a dog, 7-0 in L7, and 1-5 ATS in L6.
Vs. ACC, under is 8-1 in L9.
130th in rushing offense, 48 ypg.
Buffalo
Vs. MAC, 1-6 ATS in L7.
BYU
After a loss, 1-6 ATS in L7.
Cal
As a home favorite, under is 9-2 in L11.
Central Michigan
7-1 ATS in L8 games.
Cincinnati
At home, 5-1 ATS in L6.
Clemson
7-0 SU vs Wake Forest.
Duke
Vs. Kansas, SU won in 2021, 52-33 at home.
As away, under is 5-1 in L6.
Florida
Vs. Tennessee, under is 3-0 in L3. Went under by 11,12.5, 12.5.
Vs. Tennessee, 5-0 SU in L5.
In road games, 0-8 ATS in L8. Were favored in all. First time being away dog since 2019.
Vs. sec, 0-5 ATS in L5 games. Remember that last year’s team gave up. (arguably)
Anthony Richardson still hasn’t thrown a TD pass yet this season.
FSU
Under is 6-1 in L7 games.
Looks like Jordan Travis is practicing normally, but no official word on his status (as of Weds)
Georgia
Under is 5-0 in L5.
Allowing 3.3 ppg.
Indiana
1-6 ATS in L7.
As away, 1-5 ATS in L6.
As a 14+ point dog, over is 5-1 in L6.
Vs non-con, 0-4 ATS in L4, and the over is 5-0 in L5.
Iowa
Under is 4-0 in L4 games.
Vs B1G, over is 4-0 in L4.
Is allowing 4.3 ppg. 118th in rushing offense, 92.33 ypg.
Iowa State
Against ranked team, under is 8-0 in L8, and 10-1 in L11. Also against ranked, 1-5 ATS in L6.
When favored over ranked team, under is 5-0 in L5.
In +/-3 games, under is 8-0 in L8. (written when iowa state was -2)
Vs Baylor, 0-4 ATS in L4 meetings, were favored in all 4.
At home vs. B12, 5-1 ATS in L6.
Kansas
First time being favored over a P5 since 2009.
Vs. Duke, SU lost in 2021, 52-33 at Duke.
6-0 ATS in L6. Over is 4-0 in L4.
Kansas State
Vs. Oklahoma, over is 4-0-1 in L5 meetings. OU won 37-31 last year at KSU. In 2019 and 2020, OU was favored by 21+ and lost both.
Under is 5-1 in L6 games, 8-2 in L10.
As a dog, over is 6-1 in L7.
When a double digit dog, 6-1 ATS in L7. Goes back to 2018.
Kent State
Vs ranked teams, under is 4-0.
Kentucky
At home against non-con, 8-0 ATS in L8.
As a home favorite, 7-1 ATS in L8.
5-1 ATS in L6 games. Under is 4-0 in L4 games.
Are at Ole Miss next week.
Maryland
5-0 ATS in L5 games.
As a dog, 0-6 ATS in L6.
As away dog, 1-5 ATS in L6, and under is 6-1 in L7.
Vs. Michigan, 0-6 ATS in L6 meetings.
Against ranked team, 0-10 ATS and L10.
Miami
After a loss, 4-0 ATS in L4, and over is 6-1 in L7.
Against non-con, 1-9 ATS in L10.
Michigan
Vs Big 10, 5-0 ATS in L5, and 8-1 ATS in L9.
1H vs big 10, under is 5-0 in L5, and 7-1 in L8.
Vs. Maryland, 6-0 ATS in L6 meetings.
Allowing 5.7 ppg.
Michigan State
1H vs. B10, over is 5-0 in L5.
At a home dog, over is 4-0 in L4.
Minnesota
Top receiver Chris Autman-Bell is out for the season.
As away team vs. B10, 6-1 ATS in L7.
As away team, 7-0-1 ATS in L8.
As away favorite, over is 10-1 in L11. Does go back to 2015.
Allowing 5.7 ppg.
Missouri
On the road, 1-6 ATS in L7, and 2-14 ATS in L16.
As an away dog, 1-6 ATS in L7, and under is 8-1 in L9.
NC State
Play at Clemson next week.
North Carolina
At home, 1-4 ATS in L5.
In +/- 3 point spread games, over is 6-0 in L6.
Coming off of a bye week, 0-5 ATS in L5.
Allowing 37.7 ppg.
Northern Illinois
Over is 4-0 in L4 games, and 6-1 in L7 games.
Vs ranked teams, over is 4-0.
Notre Dame
As away team, 6-1 ATS in L7.
Ohio State
Vs Big 10, over is 8-1-1 in L10
Vs. Wisconsin, under is 3-0 in L3.
Vs. Wisconsin at home, 5-0-1 ATS in L6 meetings.
Treveyon Henderson is “expected to play” as of Wednesday.
Oklahoma
Vs. Kansas State, over is 4-0-1 in L5 meetings. OU won 37-31 last year at KSU.
In 2019 and 2020, OU was favored by 21+ and lost both.
Ole Miss
Under is 10-1 in L11 games. Under is 7-0 after an ATS win.
Kentucky comes to town next week.
Allowing 4.3 ppg.
Oregon
1H vs P12, under is 5-0 in L5. All from 2021.
Vs. Wazzu, 3-0 SU in L3. Were 2-0 ATS in L2, but 0-10 ATS in previous 10. (so 2-10 ATS in L12.) L3 went over.
Oregon State
Won last year, 45-27 at USC. (was their 2nd game without Clay Helton). Under is 4-0 in L4 meetings at Oregon State.
1H vs P12, under is 4-0 in L4.
Be careful with playing transitive football but USC played Fresno last week, though Jake Haener was injured, won 45-17. Oregon State played them in week 2 and won 35-32.
At home, 7-0 ATS in L7, and under is 5-1 in L6.
In September, 6-0 ATS in L6.
Penn State
3-0 ATS this season.
Vs the MAC, 5-0 ATS in L5.
As a favorite in non-con, 7-1 ATS in L8.
Against unranked teams, 5-0 ATS in L5.
Pittsburgh
Under is 5-1 in L6 games.
Rutgers
At home against B10, 1-8 ATS in L9.
Vs B10, under is 5-1 in L6.
0-5 ATS vs teams with winning records.
2nd nationally in rushing defense, allowing 32.33 ypg.
SMU
Beat TCU in 2021 and 2019, covered both. In the matchup, the road team is 7-0 ATS in L7 meetings.
First time favored (-1.5), in the matchup, since 1998.
Stanford
Vs. Washington, lost 20-13 last year.
Coming off of bye week.
0-9 ATS in L9 games.
Vs. P12, 0-7 ATS in L7.
Syracuse
At home, 5-1 ATS in L6.
As a favorite, 9-1-1 ATS in L11.
On Friday games, under is 5-0 in L5.
TCU
QB Chandler Morris is out again. QB Max Duggan will start.
Coming off of a bye week.
Tennessee
Vs. Florida, under is 3-0 in L3. Went under by 11,12.5, 12.5.
Vs. Florida, 0-5 SU in L5, 1-16 SU in L17.
Vs. SEC, over is 6-1 in L7.
Over is 8-1 in L9 games.
When favored over ranked teams, 5-1 ATS in L6.
First time favored at home over ranked team since 2016.
Texas
Vs. Texas Tech, over is 4-0.
4-0 ATS in L4 games.
Vs. Big 12, under is 5-1 in L6.
Quinn Ewers is reported to be practicing.
Texas A&M
Neutral site vs. Arkansas, not home. 0-4 ATS in L4 meetings.
Favored over ranked teams, under is 5-1 in L6.
Last year’s loss (20-10) broke a 9 year winning streak vs. Arkansas.
In september, under is 9-0 in L9.
Texas Tech
Vs. texas, over is 4-0.
After a loss, 5-1 ATS in L6.
Still no QB Tyler Shough, should be back October 8th, at latest Oct. 22nd.
Tulane
Allows 6.7 ppg, 6th nationally.
Tulsa
As a dog, 9-1 ATS in L10.
As an away dog, 7-0 ATS in L7.
Against ranked teams, 11-0 ATS in L11.
Vanderbilt
Vs SEC, 4-0 ATS in L4, and 5-1 ATS in L6.
Vs. Alabama, under is 5-1 in L6.
Over is 5-0 in L5 games.
Virginia
0-3 ATS this year, on a 1-6 ATS run.
Under is 4-0 in L4 games.
Washington
Vs. Stanford, won 20-13 last year.
At home, over is 5-0 in L5.
Vs. P12, 2-9 ATS in L11. One cover was Stanford.
1H, vs P12, under is 7-1 in L8.
Washington State
Vs. P12, over is 5-0 in L5, and 7-1 ATS in L8.
Vs. Oregon, 0-3 SU in L3. Were 0-2 ATS in L2, but 10-0 ATS in previous 10. (so 10-2 ATS in L12.) L3 went over.
At home, 5-1 ATS in l6.
Wisconsin
Vs. Ohio State, under is 3-0 in L3
At ohio state, 0-5-1 ATS in L6 meetings.
Wyoming
As a dog, 5-1 ATS in L6.
UCLA
1H vs P12, over is 5-0.
As away, 6-1 ATS in L7.
USC
Be careful with playing transitive football but played Fresno last week, though Jake Haener was injured, won 45-17. Oregon played them in week 2 and won 35-32.
As an away favorite, 6-1 ATS in L7.
Lost to Oregon State 45-27 last year. Under is 4-0 in L4 meetings at Oregon State.
Utah
Vs Arizona State, last year won SU 35-21 at home.
As away team, over is 6-0 in L6.
As away favorite, 1-5 ATS in L6, and over is 5-0 in L5.
UTEP
On Fridays, 1-8 ATS in L9, and over is 4-0 in L4.
If you do gamble, please do so responsibly, and on the Barstool Sportsbook